Welcome to a new 2022 Theoddsbreakers.com endeavor. Getting you, our loyal readers some insight into developing NFL DFS Lineups built to perform in Double/Triple-Ups, Head to Head’s and 50/50s. Building a high-floor winner every week in these formats allows your bankroll to grow and take some shots at the High dollar contests that DFS has to offer.
Our record this season is now 3-2 in the high participant Double-Ups. Tom Brady let us down last week ending our 3 week win streak.
I’ll be bringing you my DFS picks for the main Sunday slate of games. If you play on DraftKings, it is a 11-game slate starting at 12:00 Central time. This article will be primarily focused on the DraftKings slate, so if you use Fanduel or any of the other DFS platforms you may have different rosters and values.
Joe Burrow, QB: $6,700. The Ravens had a plan last week against Burrow and executed well. They kept him off balance getting plenty of pressure up front and played soft and deep taking away big plays from Ja’Marr Chase. Burrow struggled early and then reluctantly began to take what they gave him. He should have no such problems this week. New Orleans has struggled to get pressure on opposing QBs without blitzing averaging just 2.0 sacks per game. They will also be without Marshon Lattimore at corner who is #1 in the NFL with 70 man to man routes run against him without allowing a touchdown. Marcus Maye could still play Sunday, but I think he will be out at safety as well. Cincy and Burrow should be able to get big plays down the field in this one and I like Bengals stacks big time.
Jeff Wilson Jr., RB: $6,200. Wilson continued to get primary play in the backfield for the 49ers and went off against a good Panthers rushing defense last week for 120 Yards and a TD on only 17 carries. Tevin Coleman did get 2 Touchdowns of his own so it’s possible he steals a few more carries, but I think Wilson will get 20 touches still in this one. Look for the 49ers to establish a physical presence early in this one as they will look to sustain long drives and keep and injured defense off the field and fresh as much as possible.
Breece Hall, RB: $5,800. The Packers rushing defense has gotten bashed in the last two weeks against the Patriots and Giants even though they knew it was coming. It looks like a weak spot that can be exposed. They are currently allowing 4.8 Yards per attempt. If the Jets can hang around they will continue to pound the rock all game. Hall is averaging 4.9 yards per carry himself so look for the success to continue here. Michael Carter has stolen his goal line carries which is my concern today. If you don’t want to take a chance on the Jets falling behind and having to pass the ball Rhamondre Stevenson is also a nice option here.
Ja’Marr Chase, WR: $7,700. Teams have been doing everything they can to keep him out of the end zone and it has worked well up to this point as he has only found the end-zone twice. For all the reasons I listed above that changes this week in New Orleans. The Saints will be depleted and with this being the homecoming to Louisiana for Chase and Burrow they are gonna want to show up in a big way.
DK Metcalf, WR: $6,800. I think there will be points, points and more points in Seattle Sunday. DK and Geno have seemingly worked out some chemistry as he is averaging 10 targets over the last three weeks. Arizona is allowing 7.1 Yards per passing attempt and is 27th is Pass DVOA. The Cardinals lead the league in tempo and I think they’ll score so Seattle will have to pass to keep up and Metcalf should be in play. If you want to save some money here Tyler Lockett is also a solid pick, but Metcalf has gotten the red zone targets.
Isaiah McKenzie, $5,000. McKenzie is a value play in the Bills/Chiefs slugfest. He didn’t play last week vs the Steelers due to concussion protocols, but had 15 targets in the previous two games and should get most of the slot work against the Chiefs. Gabe Davis had a breakout game against the Steelers last week, but I think the Chiefs will look to roll coverage to Diggs and take away Davis as a deep option so the slot should be the prime spot Josh Allen looks to especially early on Sunday.
Daruis Slayton, $3,800. Well it was only one week, but with Kenny Golladay and Kadarius Toney still out for the Giants and Wan’dale Moore still questionable Slayton could be the top option again outside. He caught 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards in London against the Packers last week.
Zach Ertz, TE: $4,900. Ertz keeps raking in targets and catches with at least 6 grabs in the last four games. The Seahawks have allowed the most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season and its really not close. Look for a big game for Ertz in this one. Gonna be 78 degrees with no wind in Seattle Sunday as well.
Jacksonville, DST: $3,000. The Jags defense shut out Indy week 1. They sacked Matt Ryan five times. Indy is allowing an NFL worst 4.2 sacks per game. Everyone is saying this is the spot for the Colts to enact revenge and that could be true. But I don’t see this being a shootout. This Colts offense hasn’t topped 20 points yet. I don’t expect it to start now.
