Hi All!
I’ve been getting a lot of questions about the NBA, wondering if I have a few more plays for tonight. One area where every handicapper can improve (because we’re all probably addicts somewhat) is limiting our exposure to bets we don’t feel strongly about. Trust me, if I have another play that I like, I’ll send you the pick ASAP.
Sometimes, that might mean I fade an 8-game NBA slate. That’s not likely, but it’s possible. As I continue to grow and hone this craft, it’ll only mean more profit for all of us and less money wasted or less on wagers with less inherent value. My goal is to not simply win you money, but to teach you the tactics of a judicious professional handicapper so that you can repeat the same tactics and do it on your own.
That said, let’s fucking go with a few picks!
NBA Premiums, 10.21 (6-2, +3.75 units overall):
Pelicans/Hornets over 231.5 (-110), to win 1 unit
The Hornets and Pelicans were both top 3 in offensive efficiency and while I don’t expect much from the Nets’ defense, so that was hardly surprising for New Orleans, that’s a good sign for the Hornets. Even in a down year I’d expect the Spurs to be feisty in game one– didn’t happen. Charlotte has had more time without LaMelo Ball and scary Terry can run the offense well. They run at a fast pace and I think they’ll want to do that even more in their first game at home. I also like the matchup of both offenses; small quick guards on Charlotte vs. big rangy players on New Orleans– both should have offensive advantages. The Pelicans’ look like they could be a juggernaut this season and while I lean their way tomorrow night, I can’t take them at -6. That’s too much and too soon. I’ll go with the over.
Nets -2.5 (-110), to win 1.5 units
I really like the Raptors and think they’ll be a problem for a lot of teams this season in the right spots, but the Nets are still superiorly talented and this is a great response spot for the Nets after that embarrassing opening loss. The Raptors gave it all they had in a comeback win and they’re no slouches, but Durant and Kyrie take over in this one.
CFB Week 7 Picks ( 30-33-7, -9.46 units):
CFB Season is winding down in my brain since, firstly, we haven’t seen much success and I’m wondering if I ever should have handicapped it in the first place. Just too much going on with the NFL and now with the NBA. I’ll probably have a few plays I like every week but I’m going light from now on.
UCLA +6.5 (-110), to win 1.5 units
UCLA/Oregon under 70.5 (-110), to win 1 unit
Two physical defenses coming off a bye and this is a huge Pac-12 game. Like the under, this total is a little too high, and UCLA can score and has a tough defense to keep Oregon in line. Yes, even in Eugene.
Notre Dame -27 (-110), to win 1 unit
One of CFB’s worst teams come to South Bend and after a piss-poor loss to Stanford, ifg the Irish can’t get up and look elite here, they have more issues than Marcus Freeman.
Alabama -21 (-110), to win 2 units
Response spot for Alabama at home, and now every game needs a few more exclamation points for the Crimson Tide. They roll.
Purdue ML (+115), to win 0.57 units
Wisconsin is soft, end of explanation.
Army -6.5 (-110), to win 1.5 units
UL Monroe literally can’t stop anyone and Army is coming off 3 wins and I think they get UP for this one against a very beatable foe with an offense that can be stymied.