Early NBA Premiums, 12.7

96

 

Bulls -5 (-110), to win 1 unit

  • The Wizards will be without Bradley Beal for at least 3 games
  • Now they’ll have to head on the road for a tough against a Chicago team that needs a win, although their three straight losses were all against formidable teams
  • It might take a second for the Wizards to function at a high level without Beal in the rotation, and it’s hardly motivation knowing it’ll only be for a short amount of time
  • This is a really comfy spot for Chicago; they’re next game will be at home and it isn’t until Saturday
  • This is a good spot for the Bulls after 3 straight losses to feel better
  • They’re only 4 points better than the Wizards in my power ratings but the spot has me adding extra value to Chicago. Beal also adds to the equation, which would make Chicago a solid 6-6.5 points better.
Celtics/Suns under 231 (-105), to win 1.5 units
  • This game means more to the Suns than it does to the Celtics. Phoenix is off a loss, wanting to prove they can hang with the league’s best.
  • Phoenix’s defensive ratings go way up at home, even without CP3
  • Boston probably has half of their focus on the Warriors, the team that defeated them in the NBA Finals, in their lookahead rematch on Saturday.
  • Boston’s offense is beyond overdue for regression and I believe we started to see some of that Monday in a more inefficient night in Toronto. They still won, b/c those sumbitches are just that good.
  • But when their offense is failing them more often, Boston can always turn it up on the defensive end
  • I like how Boston’s defenders match up against Phoenix, and visa versa.
  • Boston is more stout and physical, but the Suns are pests and like quick little bees. Both match up equally annoying to their opponent’s offense
  • I have this at 222, so we have to go for more than 1 unit- LFG