Early NBA Premiums, 12.9

108

 

Magic under 105 or more (it should be 106.5), to win 1 unit

  • This isn’t out yet but it will be tomorrow morning
  • The Magic are 29th in ppg, but they’re a growing defense and they play horrendously slow. That’s a great under team.
  • The Raptors are a top 10 defensive team and they’re healthy, which means all the length should be there and in Orlando’s face at every turn
  • In regulation, Orlando only eclipsed 107 points in three different games
  • One of those games was against Toronto, where they shot nearly 50% from the field. I don’t see that happening in this contest
Knicks/Hornets under 224.5 (-110), to win 1.5 units

  • The Hornets are largely inept at scoring these days
  • And they play a lot slower than they used to. No LaMelo Ball, no tempo. No Dennis Smith Jr. slows them down, too
  • The Knicks are emphasizing defense and it’s starting to click. They’ve allowed only 82 and 89 points in their last two games, against much better offenses.
  • The Knicks are a slow-tempo team again.
  • The Knicks, on the road, shoot poorly. They’re effective FG % is dead last away from MSG
Suns -1.5 (-110), to win 1.5 units
  • New Orleans isn’t an easy place for teams to play lately, but apparently the Pelicans will still be without Brandon Ingram
  • I’m not all that impressed by the Pelicans’ lately. Sure, they’ve won 5 straight and 7 of their last 8, but none of those teams were elite
  • And they struggled against Detroit
  • And their most recent games against more elite teams (MEM, BOS), they were humbled real quick
  • I love a great coach like Monte Williams to coach up his team to respond after such an embarrassing loss to Boston
  • I’d rather bet on the Suns not losing 3 in a row than betting on the Pelicans to win 6 in a row. Which is more likely?
  • Plus, these teams meet again at New Orleans on Sunday- maybe that’s a spot for the Pels– not this one!
Previous articleNFL Premiums, Week 14 Full List
Next articleFinal, Full UFC 282 List
Chris has been betting and handicapping sports for over a decade, honing long-term strategy from the sharpest minds in the industry. A military veteran and avid NY Giants fan, he has a Bachelor's in Journalism and Philosophy from Alvernia University and Master's in Public Administration from American University. When Chris isn't consuming sports (which is rather nonstop), he enjoys spending time with his family, his friends, and his over-sized German Shepherd. He also loves beef jerky (way too much).