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*CBB(1u): Virginia/Virginia Tech OVER 118.5(-110)–6 PM CT
Typically, I don’t like playing Over’s this low the same way I don’t like playing Under’s on high totals. However, considering how each team enters tonight’s game, I think this is a bad number put out by the oddsmakers. Virginia Tech is on fire right now offensively, averaging 77.5 PPG in their current 5 game win streak. This recent success has the Hokies all the way up to 19th in offensive efficiency, and they’ll face a Virginia defense that is a lot more vulnerable on the defensive end of the floor than we’re used to seeing with a Tony Bennett coached team. That said, Virginia seems to have turned a corner offensively themselves. They’ve moved up 30 spots in my offensive efficiency ratings over the past few weeks and enter tonight having won 5 of their last 6. Virginia runs at the slowest pace in the country, while Virginia Tech ranks just 343rd in pace, so I can understand why this total is so low. However, Virginia is 6-1 to the Over on the road in conference play this season, and I think we see that trend continue tonight. I wouldn’t make plays like these a habit, but this total just doesn’t accurately represent how these two teams enter tonight’s matchup.
