I kicked off the month of February with a 3-2 night and a free play winner on UNC -3.5. In addition to tonight’s 2 free plays, I also have 4 plays reserved for my premium members. Premium plays are hitting at a 58.3% clip and have netted my members +44.9u since Sept. 2021. To become a premium member, visit https://theoddsbreakers.com/membership-account/membership-checkout/?level=9
*CBB(1u): Notre Dame/Miami OVER 141.5(-110)–6 PM CT
The betting market has reacted quite heavily to Notre Dame’s flat performance against Duke the other night that saw the Irish score just 43 points. This total has been steamed down, while everybody loves the ‘Canes tonight. That being said, I think what we’ve seen is an overreaction. Even with that stinker performance, Notre Dame still ranks 63rd in offensive efficiency and, more importantly, will face a Miami defense that ranks just 156th in defensive efficiency. That said, Miami has a legit top-20 offense and has scored at will in their home arena. Neither team pushes the pace too much, which keeps this a 1u play for me, but there is too much value on this Over for me to pass up.
*CBB(1u): East Carolina +1(-110) vs Temple–6 PM CT
These teams met about a month ago at Temple; East Carolina held a 6-point halftime lead before stumbling in the second half and eventually losing by 3. However, I think this spot sets up well for the Pirates to get some revenge. This will be Temple’s second-straight road game after they lost by 8 at SMU on Saturday. As a northeastern school, it’s not exactly an easy travel spot as they have now gone from Philly to Dallas and now to Greenville. Temple seemed to be hitting a groove the middle of January, but a 2 week pause in their schedule has seemed to throw a wrench in whatever momentum they had built up. The Owls rank just 178th in offensive efficiency, so in a bad travel spot and this being a revenge game for ECU, I think the wrong team is favored here.
