*Chelsea to WIN & Under 3.5 Goals vs Norwich (-110)
Lost on this exact bet in midweek. Chelsea scored one more goal than I needed when they beat Malmo 4-0. But I’m going with it again because Chelsea hasn’t scored more than three goals in a Premier League game this season. The blues have also only conceded three goals in those eight games played. Norwich is coming off of two 0-0 draws in a row, which proves they at least have the defensive stability to be a Premier League team. They have only conceded more than three goals once this season against an extremely attacking Manchester City side. On the attacking end is the problem for Norwich and against the strongest defensive team in the league, they will look to try and hold on for their third 0-0 result in a row. Chelsea should easily win this match, but with main goal threat, Romelu Lukaku out with an injury, Chelsea could struggle to find the back of the net. (-110)
*Leeds Draw or Win & Over 1.5 Goals vs Wolves (-115)
There’s a reason why Leeds sit at 17th in the table and are favorites against 10th place Wolves. Leeds’ last result was underwhelming, to say the least, but with a team lacking any real depth, missing Raphinha was a very key absence. With the Brazilian set to return to the line-up with much-needed rest, Leeds’ offensive output will be right back on track. Wolves are usually a low-scoring side, but their last two games have both had three and five goals scored, and it’s tough to predict any game with Leeds involved to be low-scoring. I expect Leeds to come out flying and score early which will force the game to open up. Leeds Double Chance & Over 1.5 Goals. (-115)
*Manchester United vs Liverpool — BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals (-125)
Arguably the biggest game in all of sports, certainly one of the biggest rivalries ever to grace the footballing world. In Liverpool’s last eight away games they haven’t scored less than three goals in each of those matches. Manchester United on the other hand has only kept one clean sheet in their 12 contests this season. This game screams both teams to score. Manchester United’s last four games have all ended with both teams scoring, with three of those over 2.5 goals. Manchester United will still be without Raphael Varane in the heart of the defense, a key miss for a team struggling to keep clean sheets. When looking at Liverpool’s terrific away goalscoring record and United not keeping a clean sheet at home this season… on paper, this pick should be a lock. (-125)
*Manchester City to WIN & Under 4.5 Goals vs Brighton (-143)
No need to analyze any Manchester City stat because they are Manchester City. Other than conceding two against a top side in Liverpool and three in a thrilling 6-3 Champions League win vs Leipzig, City hasn’t conceded more than one goal this entire calendar year. Manchester City sits first in the league for passes, completed passes, and possession, they will possess the ball for the majority of the game, not allowing Brighton to continuously create quality chances. Brighton actually plays a very similar style to City but in no way can they beat them at their own game. With Man City having the joint-best defensive record and Brighton only having eight goals in as many games, this pick should be safe. Brighton also has an extremely good defensive record, only conceding five goals in eight games this season, good for third-best in the league. This defensive stability Brighton have will make this a lot closer of a game than some may expect and won’t allow City to just rack up the score. (-143)
