We went 2-0-1 last night improving our record to 30-18 in our last 48 plays including 15-6 in our last 21 plays! Tonight/this afternoon, we have a barking dog looking to execute the edge! Barking dog plays have been 11-5 in our last 16 underdog plays!
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The Boston Red Sox host the Tampa Bay Rays in the rubber match of their three-game series today from Fenway Park. After the Rays came from behind to grab the win in the series opener, the Red Sox had an offensive explosion in game two. Rookie right-hander Drew Rasmussen will get the start for the Rays. He enters with a 1-1 record and 4.15 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 39 innings pitched this season. In 19 innings on the road, Rasmussen has pitched to an excellent 1.05 WHIP and 2.27 xFIP. It’s unsure how many innings the rookie will pitch but will have a solid pen to back him up. The Red Sox will counter with another rookie in Tanner Houck. The righty is 0-2 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 25.2 innings pitched on the year. Houck has averaged less than 4 innings per start in his last 3 games, so this game should come down to the pens. These offenses have been potent all season long while being ranked 4th and 5th, respectively, in runs scored this season (586 and 575). However, Tampa Bay has scored the most runs and have hit to a 2nd ranked .390 wOBA in the past 7 days. The edge in this ballgame, as mentioned previously, is going to be the performance of the bullpens after the managers pull their young righties. Both bullpens should be fully rested as none of the top relievers were used last night. This is an advantage for the Rays since they own one of the best, if not the best, bullpens in the league. This season, Tampa’s relief arms have posted an excellent 1.14 WHIP and 3.87 xFIP and have pitched to a 10.10 K/9 rate in the past 30 days. On the other hand, Boston’s pen has been one of the worst in the past month, earning a 1.48 WHIP and 4.65 xFIP which is a bit worse than their 1.39 WHIP season average. Take the Rays +102
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