It’s Thirsty Thursday and we have a night cap with a night cap to end the night! We are on a 9-4 run over our last 13 MLB plays and hope to add to it this afternoon (Dodgers) and tonight!! Get my Premium Packages HERE, including monthly all access, the rest of MLB season and College Football Early Bird Special or any of our handicappers here at the Odds Breakers!
The Boston Red Sox are in LA trying to complete a 4-game sweep against the Angels. Right-hander Nick Pivetta will take the mound for the BoSox tonight. Teams are only hitting just .185 as he has posted a 1.01 WHIP, 3.38 ERA and 3.52 FIP on the road this season. In his past 5 starts, Pivetta owns a 1.54 ERA, 29 strikeouts while teams are only hitting .140 and is averaging just 2.1 BB/9. Last years MVP, righty Shohei Ohtani will oppose him. At home this season, Ohtani owns a 32.6% K rate, 1.02 WHIP, 2.77 xFIP but has struggled giving up the deep ball (1.66 HR/9). Recently, he has really been struggling as he has earned a 5.14 ERA, 6 homeruns, 27% K rate, 1.33 WHIP and a 5.57 FIP while teams own a .373 wOBA, which is 15th worst in MLB over the past month. Boston’s offense has scored 175 runs and owns a .364 wOBA, 138 wRC+ (all 1st in last 30 days) while LAA is bottom 3rd in MLB in the same stats during the past month. The Bullpen edge also goes to the Redsox who have a top 10 WHIP and FIP in the past month while LAA has struggled to get outs. The Red Sox are scoring 4.97 runs per game on road this season while LAA has been averaging just 2.92 runs per game while giving up over 6 runs per game during their 14-game losing streak. Part of the reason why…. Ohtani is hitting .200 and Trout is hitting just .143 over the last 8 games…If I was going to play a prop in this game, I would recommend Rafael Devers. He is hitting .350 with a .435 wOBA over the past week and lefties are slugging .477 off Ohtani this season. Last year’s MVP tends to get better as the game goes on so I am expecting the Red Sox to get to Ohtani early and often and add to his 6.04 FIP 1st time through the order. I bet this this morning at +113 and the market is telling us where on the right side here. Take BOS -103
