What’s up, good people! It’s been one HELL of a ride the past few weeks, and you’ll hear this a lot from me, but thank you SO much for your unparalleled support throughout the final weeks of the NFL Circa Contest. A top 5 finish is a dream come true and I couldn’t be MORE pumped! Now it’s back to the grind– there’s no off time from NBA betting! Onto today’s free pick on the surging Raptors!
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– NBA Premiums Picks: 133-104 (56%), +39.67 units
– 5th place finish in the NFL Circa Contest (61-28-1, 68% win rate)
Raptors +4.5 (-110), 2 units: You might have heard me say this on the BetUS NBA show (which you should absolutely check out, I’m on there 4x a week), but I BELIEVE in the Toronto Raptors. The team with the best record in the NBA, the Phoenix Suns, travel to Toronto on Tuesday night in what should be a great game. The line tells you everything here, and it’s starting to move in the Raptors’ favor.
The Raptors have looked like one of the best teams in the NBA over the last 2 weeks. While we have to be cautious to not get ahead of ourselves about Toronto’s greatness, it isn’t fake news. The Raptors are finally healthy and they have a recipe that works. Pascal Siakam and OG Anunoby have created a special starting unit for Canada’s team. The Raptors are FULL of 6’8″, long-armed forwards that are aggressive at the rim and very capable shooting from anywhere on the hardwood. They’re one of the best rebounding teams in the association because of it, and they’re one of the best defenses against high-percentage shots. Freddie VanFleet has stepped up big-time in Kyle Lowry’s absence, and Gary Trent Jr. has been very efficient at the #2 guard position.
The Suns match up well against almost anybody, but this isn’t a great spot for them. Playing in Toronto is hard enough, especially getting over the border with stricter COVID protocols, and Scotiabank Arena has gone up in my home-court-power-ratings without fans. There’s a cold, cerebral element to that arena that seems to cultivate the Raptors’ success. A team predicated on swarming defense and rim control, Siakam, Anunoby, VanFleet and others have created an intimidating environment on their home floor. The Suns start a brutal 5 game road stretch over the next week.
Win or lose, the value is with Toronto and it’s not a bet I can pass up. This is a really good Raptors team – trust the line movement.
