Good start to the day as our “Barking Dog” Brewers +155 cashes! That makes our Barking Dogs 7-2 so far! Now onto the primetime game tonight. I am giving out my top play for free since the line has moved so much since last night.
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The Boston Red Sox meet the Tampa Bay Rays tonight for the final game of their three-game set at Tropicana Field. Right-hander Nick Pivetta will be the starter for the Red Sox. He owns a 8-4 record and posts a 4.51 ERA and 1.34 WHIP across 107.2 innings pitched. Pivetta has pitched better on the road earning a 1.16 WHIP but does have a higher xFIP (4.17) than his ERA (3.21). Rookie lefty Shane McClanahan gets the nod for the Rays. He owns a 4-4 record and 3.93 ERA and 1.31 WHIP over 71 innings pitched. The rookie owns a high .345 BABIP which should lower over the 2nd half of the season. Does that start tonight? Tampa comes into the series finale with a top 10 wOBA (.332) in the past month and a top 10 wRC+ (116) the past 7 days. Boston’s potent lineups has earned a top 5 ISO (.183) and batting average (.256) this season but has been struggling in the past month ranking in the bottom 3rd of the league in wOBA (.310) and wRC+ (80). Additionally, Tampa leads the majors with 196 runs scored after the 7th inning and have a bullpen that has a 1.34 ERA across 80.2 innings in the past 20 games. The Rays are also 26-8 at home since May 13th and 29-17 against the competitive AL East this season. In the past 22 games, Tampa Bay is 16-6 with 35 homeruns while averaging 5.8 runs per game and have scored 30 runs in the past 3 games. Take the Rays -122
This play was sent out to clients last night before the line moved but it looks to be around -165 so if I had to play it now at that line I would lean to the runline.
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