No Barking Dogs today but I do have 2 free premium picks to give out! We are 20-12 in our last 32 plays including winners of our last 5! Barking dogs are now 8-2 so far!
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The Houston Astros and Los Angeles Dodgers conclude a two-game series when they meet tonight at Dodger Stadium. Astros right-hander, Jake Odorizzi, will be making his 14th start and comes in with a 4.30 ERA and 1.14 WHIP through 60 2/3 innings pitched. He has struggled lately allowing 10 earned runs with 4 homeruns across 13 2/3 innings pitched over his last three starts. Odorizzi has a 3.97 ERA on the road this season but has been helped by a .212 BABIP in those outings. Recently traded veteran righty Max Scherzer will be making his first start for his new team after being shipped out by Washington at the deadline. This will be his 20th start and he currently owns 2.76 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP across 111 innings pitched. The Astros are bringing in some hot bats hitting .283, owning a .364 wOBA and 138 wRC+ (all top 3 stats) over the past week. While LA hasn’t been as hot, they still rank 11th in wOBA in the past week and rank in the top 5 in hits, homeruns, runs, SLG and wRC+ in the past month. Both offenses present tough matchups for right-handed pitching as the Astros are 1st in wRC+ and the Dodgers aren’t far behind at 3rd in that stat. The total has gone over in each of Odorizzi’s last three starts, 5-2 in Houston’s last seven games overall and 4-2 in the last six Dodger games. Take Over 8.5 runs
The Los Angeles Angels and the Texas Rangers will play game 3 of their 4-game set tonight at Globe Life Field. Potential MVP righty Shohei Ohtani gets the nod for the Angels. He is 5-1 with a 3.04 ERA and 1.13 WHIP this season. On paper it looks like Ohtani hasn’t pitched great on the road this season because of his 5.16 ERA. Let’s look closer. He has very similar home/away splits in WHIP (1.11 home vs 1.15 away and almost identical xFIP (3.65 home vs 3.66 away), so I anticipate that his 5.16 ERA is inflated and will decrease over the last half of the season. Lefty Kolby Allard will hone the mound for the Rangers. He is 2-9 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Allard owns a 1.09 WHIP and 4.18 xFIP at home this season. Now lets dig into these struggling offenses. The one thing the Angels have going for them in this matchup is that they hit lefties well ranking in the upper 3rd of the league in wOBA this season. Saying that, both of these ballclubs rank in the bottom 3rd of the league in wOBA and wRC+ in the past 30 days including the past week as well. Texas has averaged 3.85 runs per game this season while the Angels are scoring only 4.12 on the road this year. Additionally, Los Angeles is only hitting .230 on the road and Texas has only been hitting .214 at home in the past 14 days. Take Under 8.
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