Please give me a follow @TrustRocco on Twitter.
If you enjoy my content and my plays. Head over to theoddsbreakers.com and take a look at all my packages, use promo code Summerwin for a tremendous discount. You can still get my monthly package at half price, which gives you access to all of my premium plays for every sport. As we get deeper into the year with NFL, NCAAF and NBA starting that is by far my best deal. So, currently get 2 months for the price of 1. Let me do the work for you. All you got to do is sign-up, then the fun part, WINNING.
Also take a listen to my podcast Rocco’s SPORTS Mission, I cover all the major sports, give out free picks and as always, a “Reflect with Rocco” segment.
Let’s win together my friends, put your trust in Rocco!
Wednesday July 19th, 2023. Premium MLB Plays with Eric Rocco
Chicago White Sox at New York Mets -225, O/U 9
White Sox ML +185 (BetMGM) risk 1u to win 1.85u
White Sox RL +1.5 (BetMGM -105) risk 1.05u to win 1u
It’s game 2 of a White Sox series and again they’re big dogs. Well, I guess when you have a record of 40-56 and facing one of the most dominant pitchers of the last decade, the line makes sense. Or does it? How can this Mets team be -200 + vs anyone is the bigger question to ask. Backing the Mets on any night is like backing that horse that’s 1/21 with 10 seconds and 7 thirds. Tons of talent, yet no heart. Now I’m not going to sit here and tell you Chicago has tons of it because they don’t, but they certainly have more of it than this New York squad. I still find it hard to believe a team with this many bats in it can be 16 under .500 at the break, I also said that last year when I watched my division bets go down the toilet. Why do I mention game 2? Well, for starters they’re 18-13 in game 2 of a series and 13-7 in this scenario off a loss. While in games 1 and 3 they’re 11-20 and 8-20 in those spots. You can even take this trend back to 2022 when I had uncovered this being a winning spot for the White Sox. If you bet blindly games 1 and 2 of the series, loss then win, you’re up quite a few units over this last year. I think tonight’s game truly hits them right in the head for a W!
I do believe the bats will show up tonight vs Verlander who has struggled mightily in his 2023 campaign. Opponents slugging a career high .380 vs him, his walks per game have double this year and his strikeout % is down 7%. More importantly hard-hit balls and exit velocity are soaring this year, something we’re not accustomed to seeing with Justin. His EV is a career high and hard-hit balls are up a whopping 8.7%. Yes, I know betting against Verlander is not a recipe for success over the years, but I believe it will be tonight. The Sox come into this game averaging 8 runs per game in their last 3 and are hitting .270 vs righties in their last 5 games, while averaging almost 6 runs per game off righties. While the Mets on the other hand are hitting .181 and averaging 3.5 runs per game off righties in their last 5. Up until last night’s shootout, the Mets had gone 5 straight games scoring 2 runs or less. Back the White Sox tonight on the run-line as well as the money-line!
