We are 32-21 in our last 52 College Football plays and have 2 leans for you for tonight’s Championship games. We also 1 CBB premium play available for tonight which you can access to with my with my All Access Sides Subscription exclusively at the OddsBreakers!
Western Kentucky/UTSA
This line opened up with UTSA favored -2.5 and it has swapped sides as of Friday around noon ET with Western Kentucky favored -3.5. That’s a huge line move and it even went through the key number of 3. The total opened at 73.5 and is now 73. I believe the Hilltoppers will be able to thrive in the passing game tonight with their offense averaging 8.6 yards per pass and will be will up against a vulnerable UTSA secondary who gives up 8 yards per pass. This will be a step up in class for this Roadrunners defense since their opposing offenses have averaged 359 yards per game and WKU gains 525 yards per game. We should see a fast paced game between these two squads with the Hilltoppers ranking 6th in tempo and UTSA 32nd. Western Kentucky owns the best offensive success rate in the nation and the 4th highest yards per play (7.04). Additionally, the Hilltoppers accumulate 80% of their yardage comes through the air as they throw the ball 65.9% (2nd most in country), accumulate 422.75 yards passing per game (best in nation) and have the 2nd most plays of 20 yards or more in the NCAA.
Your not getting the best number but I still lean Western Kentucky
Oregon/Utah
This line opened up with Utah favored by 3 and is now -2.5 with the total opening at 60.5 and is now down to 58. This will be a slower paced football game with Oregon ranking 74th in tempo and the Utes ranking 80th and will feature two top 10 rushing offenses who own top ten 3rd down conversion rates. Utah is the more balances offense and they more consistent defense who has a 3rd best sack rate in the nation and the 10th best yards per play margin. However, Utah just is not as good on the road. I am expecting this game to come down to the last couple minutes. On the season, Oregon rushes the ball 57.8% of the time and rush the ball 39.5 times per game. Two weeks ago, they only rushed the ball 23 times which had a lot to do with the Utes getting out in front and not letting up. The first quarter will be key for the Ducks and I believe they will be able to get back to their running game in this one.
That said, I still lean Utah and like the under as well.
