Doubling down on our Warriors play. Full list, below:
PS – unfortunately we can’t handicap the Wizards shooting over 70% with 3 minutes left in the half. That was absurd. We also can’t take blame for Terry Rozier’s OUT designation an HOUR before game time against the Celtics. Teams are literally violating NBA rules by doing that. Just unfortunate shit all around lately for my NBA picks. Thankfully, I know all of you had to get Pacers TT under 116.5 because once I released the play, it wasn’t under that mark in any book I saw. That counts as a win for you, so, not the worst Monday overall.
Variance, regression, and better luck should be on our side moving forward. We’re due. No panic in this guy. Onto Tuesday, my friends.
Knicks -4 (-110), to win 1.5 units
I’m not sure why this line sits where it does and truly, that’s my only hesitation with this bet. I have the Knicks as 3 points better than an average team, which might be too high at this juncture, but I rate the Pistons as 6 points worse than an average team. New York is healthy and although it’s a weird one-stop road trip, it’s overreaching to assume that it’s a “bad spot.” Seems relatively easy to me. In any case, Detroit’s still without C Cunningham and other contributors and as long as the Knick’s don’t fall asleep, they should assert dominance over Detroit.
Warriors/Mavericks over 227.5 (-110), to win 2 units
Warriors TT over 114.5 (-108 at FanDuel), to win 1.5 units
The Warriors are starting to find a rhythm and I think they might win this showdown at Dallas. Problem is, the Mavericks have now lost four straight and this is a big motivational spot for them to correct their wrongs. In any event, I think Golden State will determine the tempo of this game. The Warriors are consistently putting up huge totals, and they’ve won six out of their last eight contests doing just that. In those 6 wins, they averaged 126.6 ppg. Dallas has slipped down to one of the worst defenses in the NBA over their last 5 games, and I don’t think this is the ideal spot for them to see regression. Win or lose, Golden State sets the tone and this is a high-scoring affair between two Western Conference giants.
