If the Red Raiders cover, we have a 6-0 night. We’ll take 5-1. That’s the return performance we needed – let’s keep on rollin’ this Friday! I certainly appreciate all of you hanging with me and trusting the process; that’s not easy to do during a week like this. Added one NBA play, a prop, and a parlay. As a reminder, props and parlays are always “play at your own risk.” They’re personal plays for me that I’m sharing, but they never count as official plays. We’ve had tons of prop and parlay wins this year so it makes me wonder where we would be if we DID count them, but alas, this is the world of a pro handicapper. Onto the picks!
NBA Picks:
- Jazz -4, 1.5 units
- I like this spot way better for the Jazz and the Hornets’ reign of offensive terror may be over at that last disappointment. The Utah roster is far more experienced and talented than Charlotte’s, and the Jazz don’t want to fall in the playoff rankings – their current 4th spot is pretty ideal. The Jazz defense, if it lives up to its potential, and it usually does when they’re motivated, is far superior to the Hornets. The Jazz were appropriately favored by 12.5 in their first contest and they won by 10. Take the Jazz.
- Clippers +5.5, 1 unit
- This is a sleepy sleepy spot for the 76ers, Harden is undoubtedly clubbing in LA and at strip clubs (this is a thing and it’s not a good habit for a pro athlete), so I could see him totally shitting the bed against a LAC unit that’s at home and better than people think. The Clippers admitted they weren’t going to make adjustments against Denver – I wish I knew that prior – but that won’t happen here. The 76ers are not a rival and the Clippers aren’t hiding or holding back. I like the dog in this one.
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- The Knicks have been playing exceptional defense and they lean on it early and often these days. The Miami Heat, who have faced some turmoil these days, are bound to recover and look more like their normal selves eventually – that’ll start with their defense tonight. Both teams play physically in the paint and few shots will come easily – pride is a part of this too. We’re taking the under.
- Mavs/T-Wolves over 227.5, 1.5 units
- This is a revenge spot for the T-Wolves and they’re at home after that let-down loss against the Suns. I think Minnesota comes out highly motivated tonight and sets the pace from the get-go. If they’re setting the pace, this will surely go over.
- Christian Wood props: The lines aren’t out yet but look for his points and PAR props to go over today. He should completely annihilate the Blazers’ front court.
- NBA Moneyline Parlay: Jazz + T-Wolves + Heat + Rockets (1 unit to win 5.33 units)
Knicks/Heat under 215.5, 1 unit
CBB Picks:
- NC money-line (fuck the +2, let’s just go for it), 1.5 units
- St. Peters +12.5, 1 unit
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. All plays listed are TO WIN that amount. In other words, if I say Bucks -3 for 1 unit, we’re betting 1.1 units at -110 or 1.15 units at -115 to win 1 unit.
Always appreciate all of you! -Chris
