G2 Suburban Stakes – July 3, 2021

July 2, 2021

464

The Independence Day slates run July 3 through Monday, July 5 offering six stakes races including a pair of Breeders’ Cup Win and You’re In qualifiers led by the Grade 2, Suburban. The Breeders Cup Classic will be run on November 6th at Del Mar.

Race Information:

Track: Belmont Park (Elmont, New York)
Event Grade: II
Race: 10
Post Time: 5:44 PM ET
Length: 1 1/4 Miles (10 Furlongs)
Purse: $400,000
Division: Fillies & Mares | 4 Year Olds And Up
Surface: Main- Dirt

Field:

Moretti (Flavien Prat), 8-1
Informative (Manuel Franco), 15-1
Prioritize (Joel Rosario), 10-1
Mystic Guide (Luis Saez), 1-1
Max Player (Ricardo Santana Jr.), 10-1
Happy Saver (Irad Ortiz Jr.), 9-5

Betting Preview:

MYSTIC GUIDE enters the G2 Suburban as the top ranked horse in the current NTRA Thoroughbred poll. He’s the horse to beat in this race as he’s the morning line favorite at even money. This race features a rematch of the G1 Jockey Gold Cup where MYSTIC GUIDE was edged by out HAPPY SAVER. MYSTIC GUIDE will try to capture the winners share of the $400,000 purse here to add to his already impressive bankroll of over $7 million. In his 2021 debut he cruised to victory in the G3 Razorback Handicap. HAPPY SAVER remains unbeaten after five starts and is coming off an easy win in an allowance race at Belmont. He’s the second choice in this race based off morning line odds however, that could shift before post time. MORETTI made his 2021 debut in the G2 Brooklyn where he finished third. However, he has hit the board in his last eight starts. He’s had success at this distance before but, is slightly out matched with the quality in this field. MAX PLAYER has not had much recent success with his most recent victory coming back in 2020, at the G3 Withers. In 2020, he also took third in the G1 Belmont Stakes and G1 Travers. Most recently he finished eleventh in the G1 Saudi Cup and sixth in the Pimlico Special. PRIORTIZE has made the jump in class recently and has had some mild success. He’ll face familiar foes in MYSTIC GUIDE and HAPPY SAVER. He faced them in the G1 Jockey Gold Cup where wound up finished fourth. In 2020, he took placed third in the G1 Woodward Handicap. INFORMATIVE is a long shot and rightly priced at 15-1 morning line odds. I don’t envision him hitting the board in this race or even being close. However, his Trainer Uriah St. Lewis has had success with long shots in Stakes Races before.