If you have bet Sam Houston State with your eyes closed this season, you have profited handsomely. They roll into Texas A&M Corpus Christi (TAM-CC) as 4 point favorites. They are 18-3 ATS this season, 11-0 in conference play, 11-2 on the road. The last time they didn’t cover was December 1, 2018! TAM-CC is 3-5 ATS at home and 4-6 in conference play. I could probably just end it here, but I will give some other nuggets that support the play:
In the last 2 weeks of play, they are averaging 87 ppg, with great point distribution on the court, having two guards average double digits and their center averaging double digits. TAM-CC relies heavily on scoring from primarily one player, Kareem South, a guard averaging 37 min per game, and 19.67 ppg over the last two weeks. TAM-CC ranks 305th in adjusted offensive efficiency having played less efficient defenses (165th) than Sam Houston State’s adjusted defensive efficiency rank of 127.
One of Sam Houston State’s offensive strengths is the fact that they rank 41st in the country in 3-point distribution, also a key weakness in TAM-CC’s defense, ranking 292nd.
My blended power rating has Sam Houston State -8.
PLAY: Sam Houston State -4.
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