UW-GB is a small road favorite at Cleveland State on February 7. Currently, at open the line sits at -3.5. I see this line having the potential to be bet up to at least 5 or 6 and there is early value if you jump on it. Cleveland State looks to likely be without Kasheem Thomas and Jaalam Hill based upon their current injury reports. Both players log key minutes which is important given the pace of play for both of these teams and their need for fresh legs.
From a purely power rating standpoint, my blended power rating system has UW-GB by 7 here. UW-GB averaging 83 ppg on the season compared to CLE ST sitting around 72 ppg on the season but just 68 ppg over the last 4 weeks (conference play). When I evaluate conference play matchups, I tend to put some stock in their common opponent results – especially common conference opponents. Looking at how UW-GB handled its business against in state rival UW-M supports looking at UW-GB here. UW-GB is 15-3 L18 matchups head to head.
Play: UW-GB -3.5.
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