January 17th NBA Free Play

824

Coming off a 12-4, +8.35u week, I’m back at it today with 3 plays! 2 of those plays are reserved for premium members(1 CBB, 1 NBA). Premium plays are hitting at a 57.6% clip and have netted my members +40u since September 2021. To become a premium member, visit https://theoddsbreakers.com/membership-account/membership-checkout/?level=9

*NBA(1u): Heat -3(-110) vs Raptors–6:40 PM CT

The Raptors have played really good basketball in the month of January, but given how they’ve approached this road trip, I think this is the spot we start to see the wheels fall off. This will be the 3rd game in 4 nights for Toronto after playing road games in Detroit and Milwaukee. Pascal Siakam and Fred VanVleet played 40 minutes each in both of those games; OG Anunoby played 36 and 39 minutes, respectively. To push your starters that hard and then pair that with a 3rd game in 4 nights WITH travel is simply not a sustainable recipe for success. Miami is 1-1 on their current homestand, and while this is a 3rd game in 4 nights for them, there has been no travel involved for the Heat. I would’ve loved to have Kyle Lowry in tonight, but I think the Heat have enough guard depth to compensate for this game. This is a clear opportunity to fade Toronto; I’ll lay the short number with Miami.