*CBB(1u): Arkansas 1H +1 @ Missouri–8 PM CT
When you compare these defenses and each team’s rebounding ability, you simply can’t justify Arkansas being a ‘dog here. I know the Razorbacks have hit a bit of a rough patch in recent weeks, but this is still a Top 20 defense in America. For comparison’s sake, Missouri has slipped all the way to 187th in defensive efficiency according to KenPom. The Tigers are also one of the worst defensive rebounding teams in America(357th out of 363 teams), while Arkansas is good-to-great on the glass at both ends of the floor.
When these teams met in Fayetteville a few weeks ago, Arkansas played about as bad offensively as you could imagine… they would still go on to win comfortably. Missouri had been one of the best shot-making teams in America for the first few months of the season, but the Tigers seem to be cooling down a bit; they have scored just 64 points in each of their last two games, even versus a remarkably mediocre Texas A&M defense.
Arkansas is still a relatively young team, and Missouri’s offense can catch fire at any minute. As a result, I’ll isolate this in the 1H. With that said, I’ll be damned if I don’t take advantage of this poor line in some fashion.
