January 24th CBB Free Play

776

I’m rolling with 2 CBB plays to start the week; one of those is reserved for my premium members. With another winner on Saint Louis 1H yesterday, premium plays are now hitting at a 58.1% clip and have netted my members +43.1u since September 2021. To become a premium member, visit https://theoddsbreakers.com/membership-account/membership-checkout/?level=9

*CBB(1u): St John’s/Seton Hall OVER 151.5(-110)–8 PM CT

These teams matched up just 2 days ago in Madison Square Garden with Seton Hall squeaking by with a 6 point win. That game featured some extremely ugly offense; Seton Hall shot just 34% from the floor and turned the ball over 17 times, while the Johnnies shot just 29% from the floor. However, that output doesn’t begin to describe how each of these teams operate. Seton Hall ranks 42nd in offensive efficiency and hovers around the Top 50 in pace; the Pirates only average 11 turnovers/game. St John’s doesn’t have the prettiest offensive efficiency rating, but what keeps their offense so lethal is their maniacally fast pace(5th in the country in pace). This formula has led to St John’s scoring 80 PPG this season, including 74 against Indiana, 75 against Kansas, and 78 against UCONN. Seton Hall plays very solid defense, but I still think they are vulnerable to a poor performance tonight given their opponent’s tempo. St John’s falls outside the Top 100 in defense efficiency and can’t be trusted to get stops on the road against a really good opponent. However, I do think the Johnnies hang around in this game; the way they do that is turning this into a track meet. The performance we saw from these teams on Saturday is an outlier; I like this one to soar Over the total.