Coming off a 1-2, -0.61u night, my MLB record now sits at 114-106-4, +4.56u. I’m rolling with a pair of plays for tonight looking to start the weekend off with a bang! To receive a text when I release my plays, join my Telegram group.
*MLB(1u): Athletics F5 TT UNDER 1.5(-120) @ White Sox–7:10 PM CT
Lance Lynn started the year on the IL and struggled mightily upon his return. With that said, I saw a “buy sign” in his last start after seeing him deliver 6 shutout innings against the Guardians. Considering Lynn held a sub-3.00 ERA and sub-1.00 WHIP at Guaranteed Rate Field last season and has plenty of experience under his belt, I trust him in this role.
Lynn will get a very favorable matchup facing an Athletics lineup that ranks just 28th in wRC+ vs righties away from home. Lynn’s main issue has been allowing the deep ball, but luckily for him, the A’s rank just 25th in HR’s this season.
This is the type of matchup Lynn should command completely from start to finish.
*MLB(1u): Cubs/Giants F5 UNDER 4(-120)–9:15 PM CT
Giants SP Alex Cobb has evolved into a guy I love backing in his home ballpark. Cobb holds a 3.02 ERA at Oracle Park this season and is allowing just 0.4 HR/9 in this role. Cobb’s astounding 3.56 GB/FB rate makes him virtually immune to allowing the long ball. While his overall ERA sits at 4.26, his sub-3.00 FIP is much more indicative of the level of arm he has proven to be. The Cubs offense got no-hit through 6 innings in last night’s game and have been below average(96 wRC+) vs righties on the road this year. In addition, their best 2 hitters(Contreras and Happ) could be traded on the drop of a dime.
Cubs SP Marcus Stroman has struggled mightily at Wrigley Field this season, but on the road, he holds a brilliant 2.31 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. While I loved backing the Giants vs righties at home last year, that success has simply not carried over into this season. The Giants are also not in great current form offensively; prior to last night, they had lost 7 straight, and last night’s win was almost solely due to Alex Wood. While I do expect the Giants to get hot at some point down the stretch, I’m not expecting tonight to be the night things turn.
