Overall went 1 and 2 last week and because of that ended up a few total units down. Glad I followed my own advice and wagered small. At least we left Dega just a little down, unlike half the field with tore up race cars.
Brad Keselowski -115 vs Kyle Larson -115
I like this one for a few reasons. Brad has a win 2 top 5s and 3 top 10s in his last 5 Kansas races. During that same span Larson has 2 top 5s and 4 top 10s. Brads average finish is 7.2 while Larsons is 12.00. That includes a 39th place finish. However, in those last 5 Brad would have beaten Larson 4 out of 5 times in a head to head match up. Keselowski is still fighting for a place in the round of 8 while Larson has his ticket punched. I am taking Keselowski in a 15 unit wager.
Aric Almirola -115 vs Daniel Suarez -115
This match up involves a couple of teammates who are headed in different directions I am afraid. I have been fading Suarez these last couple months and for good reason. I think Custer is going cup racing in 2020 and its either going to be the 14 or the 41 and I just read where the 14 has a tentative deal in place so the 41 might be it. However let’s get back to this match up. In the last 5 double A has an average of 15.6 while Suarez has 21.8. Double A would have beat Suarez 4 out of those 5 times and I am going to go with 5 out of 6 in a 20 unit wager on AA!
One more intriguing matchup is the Keselowski -115 vs Logano -115. Logano has an average of 15.6 in his last 5 and Keselowski has beat him 4 out of the last 5 as well. Logano seems to struggle at Kansas while BK doesn’t. Just throwing this out there. I will probably put a small wager of 5 units here as well.
Keep checking back with me on twitter to see the latest on these matchups as well as possibilities of additional info and picks.Don’t forget to check out theoddsbreakers latest podcast Playing The Odds Nascar style, for some history, track facts, and trends and an additional pick! If you like what you hear shoot me a message on twitter @NASCARstyleodds. Until next week, keep researching, keep reading, and keep winning.
