Pitt -3 (-120)
*3 Star Free Pick* The Clemson Tigers are 0-6 ATS this year. Everyone keeps waiting for Clemson to turn things around quickly, but at this point I have to take this team at face value. Clemson is a talented team with potential, but they consistently have been weak. The Tigers had a bye week to get ready for a mediocre Syracuse team and Clemson was fortunate to hold on for a 3 point win. Syracuse averaged 5.3 yards per play and Clemson averaged only 4.3 yards per play.
Clemson is +0.57 ypp margin on the year and most of that comes from their blowout over SC State (FCS team) earlier this year. They have been outgained by most of their FBS opponents. Pittsburgh is +1.85 ypp margin (12th in the country).
Kenny Pickett has the highest PFF grade of any quarterback in the country. The Pitt offense ranks 15th in the country in success rate. The Panthers offense has been much better this season, and they should be able to move the ball enough.
The one weakness for Pitt has been their pass defense, but Clemson is shorthanded at wide receiver and they rank 122nd in explosiveness so far this year.
I’ll fade Clemson here.
Take Pittsburgh.
*30-6 so far this year on college football totals. Grab my Totally Totals Package (All Totals Picks for one month) for just $200 here at The Oddsbreakers*
