Yesterday’s Reflection: What We Learned
Well, the Knights got outplayed yesterday. They tied it up at three early in the second but then lost their steam. Interestingly enough, my two potential plays on totals yesterday both would have missed. At least we’re able to show restraint when needed!
- Florida just annihilated the Wings. Look got potential future plays against Detroit.
- Yesterday was a great day of hockey between very evenly matched teams. Today looks similar, but there are a couple edges to exploit.
Today’s Slate
Columbus Blue Jackets @ New York Islanders – If there’s one team I’m not comfortable investing in right now it’s the Blue Jackets. They have been all over the place. New York, meanwhile, is coming off a home loss to Philadelphia and should be looking for redemption. Interestingly enough, the Isles are 8-3 in their last eleven with exactly two days rest. That seems to be the key for them. Tonight, I’m fading the Jackets and putting faith in an Isles team at home that needs a win to stay in the thick of the playoff race. I’m just not sure Columbus is going to start clicking in time to make the postseason. Last time out between these two the Jackets lost at home to New York 3-0. Look for something similar tonight. The total has dropped to 5.5, so now is the time to jump if you want the OVER. We’re taking one unit there because both teams have shown propensity to score early and often at times. I think a 4-2/4-3 win by New York is quite possible here.
New York Islanders
-1.5 (+235) 1unit
New York Islanders ML (-106) 3units
Columbus/New York Islander OVER 5.5 (-105) 1unit
San Jose Sharks @ Minnesota Wild – Next, we travel north. San Jose visits the Wild for a marquee matchup on NBCSN. This should be a great game, but if you look at the numbers they give some hints as to who might pull ahead in the end. Minnesota is actually not good at home this year, posting a measly 14-13-6 record; they actually boast a better road record. Meanwhile, the Sharks haven’t been phenomenal on the road (they have a winning record by four games) but have been great against the Central at 12-4-0. And look at the Wild against the Pacific; 10-10-1. The Wild have lost both meetings to the Sharks this year, one in each arena, and the previous matchup at Xcel Energy Center went really badly for Minnesota, as they lost 4-0. Looking at the netminders, Devan Dubnyk has a losing record at home and worse stats than he does on the road. He was in goal for each of the Wild’s two losses to the Sharks this year, giving up seven total goals in those two starts. Another angle I like here is in the first period. The Sharks have the second-most first period goals this year, only three behind Tampa and nine ahead of third place Pittsburgh. Minnesota scores the seventh-fewest first period goals of all the teams, and they give up about league average. While it could be 0-0 after the first, it could easily be 1-0 or 2-0/2-1 San Jose as well. We’ll put a unit there, and another one ATS in case the Sharks sink that empty netter with the outrageous price we’re getting. But our real money goes on the ML.
San Jose -1.5 (+225)
1unit
San Jose ML (-109) 3units
San Jose -0.5 (1st Period) (+175) 1unit
Those are my angles for today. Make sure you follow on twitter (@jksportsbets), as I often release in-game plays that have shown to be very profitable. Get that alarm ringing!
