I’m back today with 3 plays looking to right the ship after a subpar 2 day stretch. In addition to this free play, I also have 2 plays reserved for premium members. Premium plays are hitting at a 56.5% clip and have netted my members +48u over a 6 month stretch. Click here to become a premium member, and let’s start the weekend out hot!
*CBB(1u): Michigan State +2.5(-110) vs Wisconsin–5:30 PM CT
Michigan State squeaked by Maryland with a 4 point win yesterday; while that wasn’t a dominant win, I believe getting their feet wet gives them a bit of an advantage entering today’s matchup. Wisconsin is coming off an embarrassing home loss to Nebraska that saw their star guard and Big 10 Player of the Year Johnny Davis go down with an injury. Davis should play, but he will almost certainly be operating at less than full strength. Even with Davis healthy, I think Wisconsin is an overvalued commodity. The Badgers shoot just 42.7% from the floor, 31.3% from 3-point range, and average just 11 assists per game. Michigan State grabs 2.2 more rebounds/game than Wisconsin and features a monster in Marcus Bingham Jr down low, who averages 2.2 blocks/game. Unlike Wisconsin, Michigan State can really shoot the 3-ball; their 38.7% rate from deep puts them in the Top 10 in 3-point percentage. Michigan State also moves the ball around a lot better, averaging nearly 16 assists per game compared to the Badgers’ 11. This line might seem short given the perception around Wisconsin, but I actually make the Badgers only a slight 1-1.5 point favorite here. Michigan State didn’t play great down the stretch this year, but they’re catching Wisconsin at a vulnerable time and have many matchup advantages that they can exploit today. I like Sparty to beat Wisconsin outright for the second time this year, but I will always take the points in this type of spot.
