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*CBB(1u): George Mason/Davidson OVER 136.5(-110)–6 PM CT
Davidson is a team I expect to disappoint in March, but you can’t ignore how efficient they are on the offensive end of the floor. This is a team that shoots 48.2% from the field(18th in CBB), 38.5% from 3(10th in CBB), and 76% from the free-throw line(35th in CBB). Out of 358 teams, the Wildcats rank 14th in offensive efficiency. George Mason has found itself vulnerable on the defensive end of the floor in their tougher A-10 matchups, and they rank just 142nd in defensive efficiency. However, don’t let Davidson’s last few games against lowly Duquesne and Fordham fool you; this is a below average defense that ranks just 157th in defensive efficiency. George Mason scored 41 in the second half of their last game and should enter tonight ready to keep it rolling with one of the best players in the A-10(Josh Oduro) at their disposal. Neither of these teams like to push the pace, but I think efficiency trumps pace in this specific matchup(and in general). I wanted to take the points with GMU here, but I think the Over allows us much more wiggle room. George Mason’s path to victory is being able to trade buckets with Davidson, and this play also accounts for the possibility of Davidson’s offense clicking on all cylinders and putting up a crooked number.
