Yesterday’s Reflection: What We Learned
Welp. Yesterday did NOT go well. We picked the wrong side of the only two upsets. I can’t promise that won’t happen, I can only promise that I will put in the work and the research to minimize how often those days happen. It’s just variance in the life of an investor. The best way to deal with it is to learn and move on, so let’s move on to what we learned!
- There was a match penalty last night to the Flames’ Garnet Hathaway. I can’t remember the last time I’ve seen one that bad; I know, it could have been him avoiding a check that went wrong. But if you watch his eyes, I don’t think it was just that.
- The horn rang early on a no-goal in the Coyotes game with the Wings last night. Then they scored. Really tests the referee’s knowledge of the rulebook, and I believe the letter of the law was unforced more than the spirit. But it helped us!
- The Bruins keep winning. Maybe they should, maybe they shouldn’t, but regardless they’re getting it done.
- So do the Lightening. Man, these playoffs are shaping up to be fun…
Okay, let’s get at it! As a reminder, our night was slightly improved due to the in-game investments I released on my twitter feed yesterday evening. Make sure you follow (@jksportsbets) and get that alarm bell on for LIVE IN-GAME NHL investment tips, strategies, and news.
Today’s Slate
We’re just going to get this one done so we can move on to discussion. I have lots of facts and figures ready to back this up – San Jose goes OVER 60% overall and 60% at home, and Chicago, well let’s not beat a dead horse.
CHI/SJS OVER 6.5 (-152) 3units
Let’s go to Ohio again, with a different take today. Yes, apparently the Jackets decided to retire before last night’s game, and yes, they’re ready to bounce back. Bobrovsky has been the glue holding this team together in these situations, and that’s great for Columbus! Except he’s not starting tonight. Joonas Korpisalo is expected to start, and he has been average at best, posting an .897 save percentage and a GAA of 3.01 this year. To add on for Columbus, he is worse at home than on the road, posting .885/3.24 at home as opposed to .911/2.71 on the road. Korpi has also lost his last three starts. Columbus has looked like they still need some time to adjust to their new additions; I think they’ll get there, but not tonight. Winnipeg is 9-3 against the Metropolitan Division and is coming off a big comeback win against the Preds. I would avoid a spread bet on this game, but the odds are plenty good for a 3-way line.
WPG 3-Way ML (+175) 2units
We now go to the City of Sin, where the Canucks come to visit the Golden Knights. This one seems relatively simple to me. Along with how far the ‘Nucks have fallen in the last few months, Vegas suddenly has something to play for. First it was assumed that there was a three-way battle for the Pacific with Vegas, Calgary, and San Jose. Then Vegas had fallen “securely” into the three spot. Now, it’s anything but secure. Both the Wild and the Coyotes won last night, putting Vegas only six points ahead of the Wild and seven of Arizona. The pressure is starting to set in here for the Knights, so I believe they will come out strong in this one. Vancouver has a -12 goal differential in the first period and are 2-18-5 when trailing after one. Vegas as a first period GD of only 3 goals, but they have outshot their opponents by over 100 shots YTD in the period. Also, Vegas is 12-5-2 when scoring first at home this year. We’re taking Vegas on the spread with a first period bet to boot.
VGK -1.5 (+100) 2units
VGK -0.5 (1st Period) (+115) 1unit
My last preview is in Southern California again, this time in the county of Orange. Gibson returned for the Ducks in their last game against Vegas, and while he played well he didn’t get offense to help him – have you heard the before about Anaheim? They’ve lost 5 in a row and are facing an Avs team that’s gone 6-3 in their last nine, with their losses coming to Florida (sneaky good), St. Louis (actually good), and San Jose (very good). Meanwhile, during this streak they’ve beaten Nashville, Winnipeg TWICE, and Vegas, and get this: the combined score in those four wins? 19-2. NINETEEN to TWO. The Avs held those three opponents to only two goals against in four games and put up nearly five goals/game. These two teams are trending in opposite directions, and the Ducks have nothing to play for while Colorado has everything to play for. This game gets a rare triple dip from me, as I’m quite confident Colorado wins and it may not even be that close.
COL -1.5 (+190) 1unit
COL 3-Way ML (+115) 2units
COL ML (-130) 3units
As always, follow me on twitter (@jksportsbets) for LIVE NHL betting advice, as well as handicapping tips and facts. Get that alarm bell on! I have a good feeling about this slate!
