Washington Nationals vs NY Mets -177 O/U 8
This game should be a solid one but I do not understand the line move to the under here. We have some nice weather at 65 degrees with the wind blowing out at 12 MPH. Joe Ross is pitching for the Nats sporting a bad 6.03 FIP so far this season and he had a 4.59 in 2020. Marcus Stroman is pitching for the Mets and he has been great so far with a 3.25 FIP but I also expect regression here at some point being that he is about a 3.7 lifetime FIP respectively. The Mets have a great bullpen ranking 3rd in FIP but the Nats have a pretty bad bullpen ranking 23rd respectively. I could see some points for especially the Mets and I also could see them get some margin here. The Mets are certainly the better hitting team so laying the points, taking the spread and taking the over.
NY Mets -177 – 1.5 star
NY Mets -1.5 +110 – 1.5 star
Over 8 – 2 star
Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs -110 O/U 9
The Chicago Cubs scored a ton of runs yesterday winning 15-2 against the Brewers. History isn’t kind to the Cubs when this happenes. Since 2017, when the Cubs have won by a margin of 5+ runs and the team they are playing has lost by a margin of 5+ runs, the Cubs only win 41.5% of the time. Brewers Pitcher Freddy Peralta has already faced the Cubs twice allowing only 1 run in 11 innings pitched and Cubs Pitcher Albert Alzolay has faced the Brewers twice against Peralta allowing 7 runs in 10 innings. The Brewers bounce back.
Milwaukee Brewers +100 – 1.5 stars
