MLB Free Pick: Brewers vs. Giants – September 1, 2021

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Kevin Gausman at the mound for the SF Giants.

 

Welcome to September, people! We continue on after a nice win yesterday– we’re 36-15 the last four weeks! Onto today’s free pick:

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Giants -1.5 (+120 at Bovada), 2 units: This is a spot play on the team with the best record in baseball. San Francisco is holding onto a tiny 1/2 game lead in the NL West– here come the Dodgers!– and they’re in a rare position against the Brewers, at home, as losers of 4 of their last 5 games and 2 straight contests against the visiting team. That hasn’t happened often for the 2021 Giants and it won’t last. After a tough July, Kevin Gausman recalibrated and had another commanding month in August. I trust him today even though he’s up against a surging group of hitters. Few pitchers have been able to limit Milwaukee’s bats lately but Gausman is one of the few who can; and he’s been one of the most consistent major league pitchers all season. Four straight losses and a 5.40 ERA in August has the Brewers’ Brett Anderson as one of my fade candidates as we near the end of the regular season. This is a fantastic combination of factors in favor of the home team. The Giants are 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and 42-15 (74%) in their last 57 contests as a home favorite. I’m on the Giants by margin.

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Chris has been betting and handicapping sports for over a decade, honing long-term strategy from the sharpest minds in the industry. A military veteran and avid NY Giants fan, he has a Bachelor's in Journalism and Philosophy from Alvernia University and Master's in Public Administration from American University. When Chris isn't consuming sports (which is rather nonstop), he enjoys spending time with his family, his friends, and his over-sized German Shepherd. He also loves beef jerky (way too much).