San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies
The Padres have been abysmal lately as they’ve one 3-7 in their last 10 and lost their last 4 in a row. Last night was a defeat to the Giants 4-2. The Padres had the bases loaded with 1 out in the top of the 1st and couldn’t score. If that’s not an indication to how their season is going, I don’t know what is.
The Rockies come in on an average pace at 5-5 over their last 10 and lost to the Cubs last night. They sit in 2nd place in the NL West at 35-32 so far this season.
The Padres will send Matt Strahm to the mound in the series opener. The Padres are fairly mediocre with him on the mound on the road as they’ve gone 3-3 straight up, 3-3 to the run line and 1-4-1 O/U.
In turn, the Rockies send Jon Gray to the mound. He also has pretty pedestrian marks when he starts at home. He’s sitting at 3-2 straight up, 2-3 to the run line and 0-5 O/U.
The total in this one tonight is at 11.5 shaded to the under at -115. The Padres haven’t hit the broad side of a barn lately against worse pitchers than Gray. The Rockies have been on a bit of a roller coaster with their run production as they’re great on same days and dreadful on others. The Rockies shouldn’t have to play too hard to come out with a win here, so I don’t think we get max effort. I see this game being somewhere around 6-2 or 7-1.
Take Padres / Rockies UNDER 11.5 -115
New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox
The Yankees come in to tonight’s game on a bit of a down turn. They’ve lost 2 of their last 3 series and split a double header with the Mets on Tuesday. They’re currently 4-6 in their last 10. JA Happ will take the mound to try to stem the tide.
The White Sox will counter with Ivan Nova. The White Sox haven’t been anything special in their own right outside of a couple players (namely Lucas Giolito, who’s having an amazing bounce back season). They’re currently 5-5 in their last 10.
Happ has pitched well for the Yankees this year on the road as they are 6-0 straight up, 5-1 to the run line and 3-2-1 O/U in his starts.
On the flip side, the White Sox have struggled in Nova’s starts going 2-3 straight up, 0-4 to the run line and 3-1-0 O/U.
Since 2018 in games the Yankees are a -175 or higher road money line favorite they’ve gone 27-12 straight up, 24-15 to the run line and 25-14 O/U. In that same stretch as a home dog of more than +160, the White Sox are 6-22 straight up, 7-21 to the run line and 16-11-1 O/U.
Take the New York Yankees -1.5 -125
*Stats for straight up, run line and O/U come from SDQL queries run on KillerSports database.
