Baltimore vs Tampa Bay -165 O/U 7
This should be an interesting Lefty vs Lefty Matchup. Keegan Akin will be on the mound for Baltimore. He doesn’t have a ton of MLB experience but he has done well this year over 20 innings with a 3.25 FIP. His numbers were similar in 2020. Ryan Yarbrough is pitching for the Rays with a decent 4.29 FIP but more experience than Akin. Baltimore has been a sneaky team this year and it’s because they are better than their record of 22-39 yet they have as of late shown some positive regression signs being that they are 16th in wRC+ and their Bullpen ranks 19th in FIP. The Ray’s are 11th in wRC+ and 7th in bullpen FIP but the reason that I like the Orioles here is that they are very good at hitting lefties and they are plus money. Baltimore ranks 2nd in wRC+ against left handed batters. Combine that with the potential upside of the pitching with Akin, I will take the dog.
Baltimore +156 – 2 stars
