San Francisco vs Saint Louis +110 O/U 7.5
Gonna have a nice play that hopefully will not be scary after I break this down. Who’s the best pitcher in the NL? Too early to tell, but Logan Webb has been fantastic boasting a 2.64 FIP at 4-1 for the season. He is a right handed ground ball pitcher who has been straight up deadly. The Cardinal’s Jordan Hicks hasn’t been too bad either with a 3.78 ERA at 1-2, but his FIP is 4.5 after 16 innings and his 4.17 performance from last year is average at best. Both of these bullpens are pretty average so I will not give the Giants a big advantage there, but looking at the hitting, the Giants have done pretty well vs righties ranking 11th in wRC+ while the Cardinals rank 19th. The Giants play in the tougher division by far and they still have a +9 positive run differential over the Cardinals. I feel the Giants have a 60% chance of winning which means that they should be laying about -150 in this spot. Take the San Francisco Baseball Giants with the better pitcher and hitting.
San Francisco -120 – 1 star
