MLB Fun Friday Freebie – Sports Betting – Guardians vs Reds

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Guardians vs Reds +106 O/U 9

The Cleveland Guardians and Cincinnati Reds are set to face off in a three-game series starting Friday, May 16 at Great American Ball Park. The Guardians come into the matchup with a 25-18 record, while the Reds are 21-24 on the season.

Weather:  

  • 80 degrees with wind blowing from right to left at 10MPH

Pitching Matchup

  • Guardians: Tanner Bibee (3-3, 3.80 ERA) will take the mound, looking for his fourth win of the season.
  • Reds: Brady Singer (4-2, 4.97 ERA) will start for Cincinnati, aiming to improve his record.

Key Players to Watch

  • Guardians: José Ramírez (.295 BA, 8 HR, 16 BB) is on a nine-game hitting streak, batting .361 over his last 10 games.
  • Reds: Elly De La Cruz (.286 BA, 8 HR, 31 RBI) has been a powerhouse, hitting three home runs in his last five games.

Prediction:

The Guardians have the better record, but I think that the home dog is barking today.  The Reds have scored more runs this season at 208 compared to the Guardians at 176.   Looking at the Pitching, the ERA doesn’t tell the whole story.  Tanner Bibee has a FIP of 5.52 while Brady Singer is at 4.25 respectively.  Cincinnati has the better on base percentage as well as batting average.  The strength of schedule isn’t factored in well either.   I think the Reds win this one.

Reds +108 – 1 star 

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Kiev O'Neil: 20+ years of sports betting experience. Podcast host since 2017. College Football since 2019 412-367-27 UP 58.7U NFL since 2018 249-228-16 up 40U UFC since 2019 82-74-5 up 34.1U I do not necessarily look at myself as being a so called “sharp” sports bettor. Instead I like to think of myself as a great compiler of information who specializes in the Big 10, but also handicaps all NFL, NCAA football, UFC, Basketball, Horse Racing and more! I encourage people to specialize in a conference or division that will help give them the greatest edge in their sports wagers. I am never against a person betting against their favorite teams when the situation is right.

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