MLB Picks and Predictions – July 1, 2021

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A Rockies player blowing a bubble gum bubble during a game.

 

Our parlay never had a chance last night as the Twins got smacked by the White Sox but the Angels won and our two other bets hit for + money. After a 2-1 day, I like even more underdogs today! Let’s keep it rollin’!

Nationals win (+130), 1 unit: Ya think the Nats-bats are feelin’ good these days? Washington dropped 15 on the Rays yesterday (we called that), which gives them 32 runs in their last 4 games. Not surprisingly, they’ve also won 4 straight during that span. They also dropped 15 on Tampa Bay without any help from Kyle Schwarber on his historic run. He went 0-4 Wednesday. Today the streaking Dodgers come to town and while that’s always intimidating, especially when LAD is surging, the Nationals aren’t scared. These two elites have faced many times in the past and I have to believe this series means more to Washington. The Dodgers swept the Nationals in 3 games at Dodger Stadium back in April. The Nationals didn’t score in two of those contests but me thinks something might change today. Not all of these MLB games are about the pitchers and although LAD has the edge in their thrower today, the Nats are rested, remain at home, and their bats are WHITE hot. Sometimes we have to be bullish and bet baseball based on offense and I’m betting that the Nats whack the Dodgers today for + money.

Padres win (+105), 1.5 units: The Padres have the better pitcher today in Ryan Weathers (2.47 ERA, 1.01 WHIP over 47.1 innings) and they’re overdue a win after losing 3 of their last 4. They’ve also owned the Reds this year, winning 6 straight against Cincinnati (and 4 of those by margin). I’ll gladly take the better team on the road.

Rockies -1.5 (+170), 1 unit: The Rockies continue to look like an exceptional ballclub when they play at the comfort of their very own Coors Field in Denver. After a clean 3-game sweep of the Pirates at home, a series in which they out-scored Pittsburgh 16-2, the Rockies take their confident bats against Adam Wainwright (3.59 ERA, 1.12 WHIP over 92.2 innings) and the equally humming Cardinals in the 8:40 EST slot. Wainwright has been solid this year but he can certainly lose command. At Coors against a feisty Rockies’ bunch, I think he might get exposed. Antonio Senzatela (4.76 ERA, 1.44 WHIP over 81.1 innings) doesn’t have the best numbers but he’s steadily improved as the season wanes on and he’s had some elite games at home, allowing no earned runs or only 1 earned run on multiple occasions against good offenses. The Rockies are 28-16 in front of their fans and at this altitude, many of their wins come by margin– I’m on Colorado by more than 1.