This will be a super short edition of this article since I’m in a rush and trying to get these plays out here (instead of just Twitter). Speaking of Twitter, I have 3 other premium plays in MLB (along with NBA and UFC) if you want them FOR FREE today! Reach out to me on Twitter and let me know if you’re interested. Here are my best free plays in MLB today:
Blue Jays -2.5 (+110), 1 unit: Why not make this a super-margin bet? Kolby Allard has allowed 13 runs in his last 23 innings and the Rangers are slumping hard. Meanwhile, Toronto and their very able bats (who hit just as well against lefties) are primed at home behind Ryu, who remains solid but we think will see even better numbers in the second half of the season. I’m on the Blue Jays to win by 3+.
Athletics (-180), 1.8 units: The Athletics are just the better team, especially at home, and Quantrill seems to be regressing. The 26 year old righty (who bats left) had a horrid June, posting a putrid 7.20 ERA over 20 innings. July hasn’t treated him right so far either. Freddie Montas has his limitations and owns an average 4.83 ERA at home, but his numbers have improved in June and July and the Indians can’t find enough bats to save their lives. I’ll take Oakland at home.
Padres/Nationals over 9.5 (-110), 1.5 units: The Nats and Padres showed out their hitting prowess yesterday in a ridiculous 32 run outing, 24 of those courtesy of the visiting San Diego offense. Yowza. It’ll still be hot and swampy in DC today an if the rain holds off, Snell and Corbin don’t scare me away from these sluggers having another huge day.
Brewers (-135), 1.5 units: I like to fade Luis Castillo in spots like this where you would think he’s at an advantageous at home, especially against aces like Woodruff. Castillo has proven to be an unreliable “potential ace” while the Milwaukee’s star pitcher has been exceptional this year. Woodruff should be able to handle whatever semblance of offense the Reds pretend to have today; the volatility of that offense is concerning. I’m on the Brewers to take another game at Great American Ballpark, where they’re 5-2 already this year.
Giants/Cardinals under 8 (-110), 1.5 units and
No Run in First Inning (-120), 2 units: The Cardinals’ surging starter Kwang Hyun Kim, whose impressive performances have crossed over into July (he’s allowed 11 hits but only 1 run in his last 18 innings pitched), will face off against the Giants’ rock-steady Anthony DeSclafani Saturday night. I like this game going under 8 and I like no runs in the first inning even more — two teams heading in opposite directions but predicated on their pitching class should come to a head tonight.
