Today we have another situation where a large majority of money is on the OV 11.5 in this third game of the series between ARI/ COL. Understandably so in the mile high city. Looking at Rockies starter Jon Gray, he has given up some runs as of late but like a lot of the COL’s staff, has pitched better at home. After a few poor outings, ARI’s pitcher Taylor Widener’s L2 outings were solid against PHI and at SD.
What’s surprising about the Rockies at home is- on the season they are 56.5% to the UN. As a home favorite, they’re 58.6% to the UN, and in division games they are 55% to the UN. Not a remarkable trend, but clearly a few leans to the under. What’s scary about this game is the score is always capable of taking off in Denver, and both teams can score. That’s why I’ll keep this play small, and I don’t want to get these bullpens involved either. With F5 set a half run higher than the full game, I’ll take the bait here and make a play to F5 Under 6 (+100). Because Widener has pitched better than Gray in his L2 against solid hitting squads, I also took ARI F5 +1/2 (+117), expecting them to keep it close to try and steal one game of the series from COL.
ARI/ COL F5 UN 6 (+100) 1u/ ARI F5 +1/2 (+117) 1u
