Does Chris have too much action, AGAIN? Maybe, but I can’t turn away from these matchup advantages.
Anthony Davis over 27.5 pts (-115), to win 0.5 units
It’s AD, he can choke, but he has a big-time interior advantage tonight since Boston is still without Horford and Williams.
LeBron James under 27.5 pts (-125), to win 1 unit
Since AD should cook, the aging Lebron James should be very limited by a very talented defensive Boston team. This doesn’t feel like a big Lebron game; it’s not the matchup or situation where he thrives.
Giannis over 5.5 assists (+105), to win 1.05 units
Antetokounmpo (+7.5%) and Middleton (+6.0%) had the highest assist rate differential with Holiday off the floor last season. Giannis will use his big body advantage to lure in Warriors defenders, who are usually inept at stopping the Greek Freak, and dish out the ball to Middleton and other shooters. Love this over.