531/ 532 Denver at San Antonio
Lines have moved toward the Spurs in this one where we see them playing a Nuggets team off an overtime win last night at New Orleans. So far this season, the Spurs are 3-1 ATS playing against teams on a back to back and the Nuggets are 1-3 ATS playing with no rest. However, this will be the first time the Spurs are a favorite in this position and although they have beat the spread they are 1-3 SU. That has me looking for San Antonio elsewhere in the game. Also, I have a hard time betting against the Nuggets as it seems teams with great players like Jokic seem to get wins when they shouldn’t.
Looking at the 1st quarter stats, the Spurs are 9-2 1Q ATS at home (a streak I’ve been riding) while the Nuggets are 6-7 1Q in away games. Playing with no rest, the Nuggets are averaging a 4 point deficit in the 1st Quarter as well. I’m looking for the Spurs to jump on the Nuggets early but don’t trust them enough to make it a large play or take them full game although it is a great spot. Give me the Spurs 1st Quarter!
532 SAS 1Q -1/2 (-115) 1.15 unit
