NBA and CBB Value Plays from FarleyBets: March 24, 2022

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Texas Tech's point guard, moving down the court against Notre Dame.

 

Hi Everyone! It’s that time of year where sports are at their height – March Madness, the NBA playoffs are near, the UFC schedule is regular again; it’s the BEST! Although I do miss football (sad face).. Onto a few free plays for you to attack on the Thursday slate!

Current NBA Record: 245-193 (56%), +71.45 units
Translation: We win, a lot. Click here for my premiums every day in your inbox!

Bucks -8.5 (-110), 1 unit: This is a great “clobber spot” for the Bucks tonight. Milwaukee is only 1.5 games behind Miami for the #1 seed and the Heat are seemingly in disarray right now (Butler vs. Spoelstra, yikes). Kyle Kuzma continues to sit for the Wizards and that’s a big deal – he’s their most physical player and makes a huge difference at both ends of the floor. That should tell you how talented Washington is these days, by the way (it ain’t great). Milwaukee looked just fine without Middleton Wednesday against the Bulls, and if anything they run faster without Giannis’ #2 guy – that’s not a good thing for the slow-paced Wizards, who easily get overwhelmed against explosive offenses. Giannis is now OUT, but the Bucks should still have their way against one of the softest front court defenses in the NBA (Porzingis, ew), and Milwaukee’s depth is a huge issue for a shallow Washington roster. The Bucks’ schedule is about to get much tougher. I don’t think they letdown tonight; I think they smash. Take Milwaukee and swallow the points.

Texas Tech -1 (-110), 1 unit: In postseason play, I tend to rely on great defenses. In basketball, where teams and young athletes are increasingly more focused on offensive efficiency, that gives consistently good defenses a significant advantage. I think that’s what we’ll see tonight, again, from a Red Raiders squad that’s looked amazing thus far in the tournament. Duke has been explosive at times this season, and very mediocre and clumsy at other points. The intense pressure that MUST be on these young players can’t help. Coach K’s final season brings a level of intensity that most college kids don’t handle well (case in point, the final game at Cameron Indoor), and Texas Tech has an aggressive, in-your-face style that the easily shakable Duke roster may struggle with. If that happens early, it’s all rocket-ships for the Red Raiders, who haven’t shown any signs of slowing down on either side of the hardwood. Texas Tech has faced a much harder schedule and they’ve been considerably more consistent. Side with the Red Raiders!