539/ 540 Warriors at Rockets UN 229.5*
Very difficult to think about taking an under in the highest total of the night, especially with the Rockets 4-1 O/U in their L5 at home, 9-1 O/U in their L10 at the house. 76% of the money is on the over at this point but the line has dropped from its 230.5 open, and I agree with the move. In their L10 overall, the Rockets are 6-4 O/U. But when the Rockets are facing conference teams whose win% is higher than 60%, they are 1-4 O/U so far this season with an average total result of 225.
We all know this Warriors’ defense is better than years past but they still have capable scoring. Against a losing team, the over should be a no brainer. But when we look at the Warriors against all teams with a win% less than 40%, they are 4-8 O/U with an average total lined at 230. Against conference opponents with less than 40 wins% they are 2-6 O/U with an average total result of 222. Add to that, the Warriors are kicking off a 5 game road trip. I like the Warriors to look and get a victory here without having to run the Rockets out of the gym tonight, and worth a one unit play.
My free plays have been on a 0-3 slide but Patreon is still doing well for the month +21.6 units. Get all of my plays there!
