NBA Monday Play

456
DENVER, CO - NOVEMBER 03: Will Barton #5 of the Denver Nuggets brings the ball down the court against the Miami Heat at the Pepsi Center on November 3, 2017 in Denver, Colorado. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images)

517 Magic at Nuggets 1Q OV 55*

We have a mid-range total here as the books are adjusting to the possibility of a sluggish start the day after the Super Bowl. The Magic are trending 7-3 O/U L10 in the 1st quarter on the road and the Nuggets 9-1 O/U L10 1Q at home. We have the first quarter and first half less than the full game total and I want to take advantage as the trends favor the over.

I look for this young Magic team to try and steal a win (or at least a cover) tonight by coming out pushing initially. And although the Nuggets are a good defensive team, the Magic tend toward the under on the season because the go through scoring droughts.  Orlando’s tendency towards the under and the market pushing this one down will keep this as a small one unit play for me tonight. However, in my opinion, questionable motivation spots in the NBA has led to less defense, I’ll look for an early 1st quarter over.

Check out more of my Patreon plays, where I am a modest +3.31 units in February but looking to get on a run!