NBA Premiums, 1.11

105

 

The unpredictable nature of sports continues– thank God we weren’t on the Warriors last night. The Heat were still the right side, they were the grown ups on Tuesday night and they proved it, but unfortunately they only won by 1 point. The Thunder are a young, athletic team and that was their first TV game in a very, very long time. Kudos to their energy.  Onto the next:

NBA first, CBB coming next:
 
Timberwolves/Pistons over 229.5 (-110), to win 1.5 units
Timberwolves TT over 119 (-110), to win 1 unit
Pistons are a dead-nut over team: 60% ATS this season and an astounding 72% ATS to the over on their home floor (13-5-1). They’re tired off a bad loss to the 76ers but they were still able to put up points. We’ll see if Bogdonavic returns tonight and if he does, that’s a great thing for Detroit’s scoring potential. Either way, this is a better spot for Minnesota to find some offense and push up this score. Detroit just won’t have the energy for any defense.
Kings -9 (-110), to win 1.5 units
SG Parlay: Sabonis O19.5 pts + Sengun O6.5 Rebounds (+125), to win 1.25 units
Sengun is averaging 8 rebounds per game and he’s a really important piece for the Rockets, who probably won’t do that well in this game but if they have a chance, he’ll need to be aggressive at the rim against Sabonis. His defense is light and often soft, and we’ve seen Sabonis absolutely torch similar defensive profiles in the paint. On the game itself, the Kings are starting to look like their old self– they’re the #1 offense over the last 7 games and they’re very healthy. The Rockets have covered 1 game since Dec 26th and they’ve won only 1 game since mid December. They’re a worse ATS team on the road, and they just don’t have the offensive talent to hang with a team like Sacramento. Better spot for the Kings to smash.
Spurs +13.5 (-110), to win 1 unit
The Grizzlies continue to own the Spurs but they don’t beat them by margin. This is the Grizzlies 5th game in 7 days and they’ll be happy to get some rest– they have a solid 3 day break ahead of them. There’s not much to love about San Antonio’s offense but their profile is that they’re an assist-dependent team who can score in the paint and in the mid-range, and with the right situation their energy can keep them competitive. This is that spot.