Adding 2 more, in red.
NBA Premiums, 11.11 (40-25-1, 60.6%, +13.89 units):
Suns -7.5 (-110), to win 1 unit
Phoenix is good in these spots and they’re learning how to win without Chris Paul, which will be more and more a thing as their court-general ages. The Magic can be feisty but as long as the Suns do what they do best, running the floor efficiently and playing lock-down defense, they should win with ease. They’ll probably party over the weekend before their next road game at Miami – we all know South Florida can be a fun time – but this is a good spot for them to take care of business before a more challenging contest.
Nuggets/Celtics under 231.5 (-110), to win 1.5 units
This checks out as a slow-moving game. The Nuggets are moving a little faster down the court but in general, this is an offense run by Jokic at the top of the key. The Celtics are very adept at playing against that sort of offense as they can lock down in the half court and settle in. The length of Denver could also disrupt the comfort of Boston’s shooters. Slower tempos, contrasting styles that create advantage for both defenses from where I’m sitting. I would take this as low as 228.
Knicks 1H -4.5 (-110), to win 1.5 units
No team comes out flatter than the Detroit Pistons and this is a really tough spot for the road team. The Pistons return home tomorrow to take on the mighty Celtics while the Knicks are fresh off a bad loss to Brooklyn and seeking instant revenge. The Knicks are also one of the stingiest 1st quarter defenses and highest scoring 1H offenses in the NBA. I’ll take the Knickerbockers to get right nice and early – who knows if they’ll finish the job.
Timberwolves/Grizzlies over 234.5 (-110), to win 2 units
Much unlike the above game, this game opened at a huge number and I’m guessing it only goes up. We saw these two teams create some explosive offense against each other in the playoffs last year and I think this spot may be even more ideal for production. The Grizzlies tend to go at the tempo of who they face, which is a good thing for the over since Minnesota is top 5 in that regard. Memphis also tends to run faster at home and the matchup (small and quick Memphis vs. long and explosive Minnesota) is a perfect storm for points. I’d take this up to 236.5 for two units.
