I almost made a video this morning so you guys can see how authentically frustrated I am with betting the NBA lately. I don’t give a fuck what anyone says, we’re facing some absurd results and the ball just keeps bouncing the wrong way.
We went 4-5 last night in NBA picks, but it very well should have been at least 6-3:
- We lost two bets (T-Wolves +5.5 and LAC/WIZ U220.5) by 0.5 points each. Sweet.
- The Celtics, statistically the best offense we’ve ever seen in the NBA over the course of the last month, couldn’t hit a basket in the 1st QTR in a REVENGE spot at Golden State, resulting in two more absurd losses (Celtics 1Q, 1Q O60.5).
- The first half over easily cashed, further evidence that we had the right angle early. Just another big fuck you from the association.
If anyone was on the opposite side of those bets and thought they were sharp, it would take everything my momma taught me to not slap them right across their face.
Needless to say, if I turn this shit around and hit another season over 56%, it’ll be even more remarkable. Luckily we still have 5+ months of action this season, and that’s exactly what I plan to do. ONTO ANOTHER FUCKING DAY, and yes – we have some Sunday NBA bets.
Suns/Pelicans under 227 (-110), to win 1.5 units
The way that last game ended, with a disrespectful Zion dunk, makes me think this contest will be a very defensive affair. With animosity growing, this should have a playoff feel, and both teams shot exceptionally well in their first contest (both over the field, including over 50% from 3-point land for Phoenix two nights ago). This one slows down as defense becomes the priority on both ends.
Kings/Knicks under 232 (-110), to win 1 unit
The Knicks have only allowed 100 ppg the last 5 games and, even better, they’ve only permitted a ridiculous 91 ppg in their last three contests. The Kings have regressed on offense a bit lately, averaging 114 ppg in their last 9 games. Is that a low total? No – but it’s lower than what they’ve been offering and they’re in the middle of a really tough road trip. De’Aaron Fox is likely to be OUT of this contest, too, which should bring down Sacramento’s scoring ability substantially. Under for me.
Lakers -5.5 (-110), to win 1.5 units
There’s also some animosity between these two teams. Last time they faced, back in November last season, Isaiah Stewart and Lebron James almost threw hands. Detroit is without Cade Cunningham again tonight, a contributor they really need to compete with good teams, and it’s their first game back home after a long road trip. That’s usually a flat spot, while the Lakers need to get-right after dropping 3 straight. They’ve played MUCH better the past few weeks and this is a great spot for them to feel good before they head back home. Road trips can create some magic, especially at the end, and I think the Lakers’ OGs assert some dominance tonight.
