The NBA season is heating up, with tons of information and numbers to analyze. The All-Star break is just a few short weeks away! With that said I have a spot play tonight, I have been eyeing all week.
Toronto at Utah -3 (O/U 230 1/2)
The Raptors are finishing up a 5 game road trip tonight in Utah. Their last 9 games have included 3 back to back’s, with 7 of them on the road. 7 of the 8 they have been out-rebounded which doesn’t bode well for them facing a Jazz team who have out-rebounded 7 of their last 9 opponents. When Toronto is on 1 day rest, the over is 20-14, which tells me there is not a lot of defense being played. This Raptor team has to be tired and won’t be playing much defense tonight, look for Utah to jump ahead early.
On the flip side, Utah has enjoyed some downtime playing 7/9 games at home. 1 game in 6 days, and 3 games in 11 days. There on 3 days rest and have averaged 123 points in the following games. Utah shoots right around the league average of 47.3%, and Toronto comes in giving up north of 48% in 8/9 games. What Utah needs to avoid is turnovers, where they rank 23rd in the league and rely on there 3 ball. Where they rank in the top half and face a Raptor team who gives up 37.4% ranking 29th.
Lastly, I know their numbers aren’t great as home favorites, but have been better recently going 3-1 ATS, and covering them as 7 1/2, 8 and 8 1/2 point favorites!
I have TWO plays for tonight’s game!
Jazz -3 (Bet Rivers -110) 2 units
1H: Jazz -1 1/2 (FanDuel -105) 0.5 unit
