I am recommending that you consider playing under 226 in New Orleans tonight as they face off against Orlando. At first glance, seeing New Orleans averaging 113 ppg on the season and some of their high scoring match-ups might make you question. Here are some reasons why I like the Under at 226:
New Orleans is only 3-7 SU last 10 games. L3 H2H, the totals have averaged 212 and unders went 2-1. L10 H2H, the totals average 194 and Under is 8-2. NO Unders have cashed in 4 of last 6 games, and 9 of last 13 against Orlando, 4 of last 5 at home against Orlando. Against tougher defenses, NO has shown it can’t score near it’s statistical season average. New Orleans is playing its 3rd game in 5 days. New Orleans unders are 16-13 when they are a favorite, and 4-1 against Southeast Division opponents.
Orlando is surrendering 106 ppg on the road this season, holding opponents to 45.18 FG% and has held opponents to 101 L3 games. The Under is 20-13 in conference play for Orlando and 17-12 on the road this season. Orlando has some recent standout defensive performances, holding opponents to low totals, such as: Atlanta 108, Milwaukee 83 (sans Jannis), Brooklyn 89, Houston 103, Washington 95. These games all occurred since January 25th. Orlando road totals average 209 on the season and they have held opponents to 104.8 ppg L5.
Play: ORL/NOR Under 226 ; lean NOR team total under 115.5
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