Murray State vs Florida State -4.5 O/U 147.5
Ja-mazing. I am a believer now in this team. I was somewhat skeptical before due to Murray State’s easier schedule but they proved what the numbers have been saying. The Racers shoot an amazing 48.8% on the road as well as outscoring their opponents 79-68. Ja Morant is NBA and I mean serious NBA top 5 pick and these tournaments are meant for stars like him. On the other side of the coin, Florida State isn’t exactly a cake walk being one the tallest and deepest teams in the League. They rank 15 on Kenpom with a top 32 offense and top 10 defense. One small issue is that one of their starting forwards Phil Coffer is a big banged up and may not start this game but the Semi’s depth should outshine that issue. The weakness in Florida State that Murray State can exploit is that they have a bad FG percentage ranking 180th in the nation while Murray State ranks 20th. If Florida State can clean up the boards it won’t be as much of an issue but they still have to get inside and hit shots and it’s not like Murray State is too short by any means. Murray State is a fast team at 70 adjusted possessions per game who can run with anybody while Florida State will try and slow it down a little and play defense. The key factor for me here is that in Hartford Connecticut I do not think that you will find a ton of Florida State fans and most of the neutral crowd will be rooting for the new media toy in Ja Morant. The dog in Florida State’s last 16 tournament games is 15-1 with 11 outright wins courtesy of Chris Fallica. These are the kind of games that favor the new stars.
Murray State +4.5 and ML
