ULL Ragin’ Cajuns at SALA Jaguars Total 53
ULL dealing with RB, WR, and cluster OL injuries. Total pushed up to 53 from open at 51. SALA defense better than hoped so far (18th Scoring DEF), ULL allowing 5.9 YPP but coming into conference play I expect them to tighten up. Jaguars 163rd OFF YPG.
ULL/ SALA U53 (-112) 2.24u
NW Wildcats at Nebraska Cornhuskers (1H -6) Total 51
Total moved up from 49 open to 51, 52 at sharp Pinnacle book. I don’t agree with this one being a horse race with NW struggling offense (127th YPG). Yes they scored 21 against Michigan ST earlier this season but that was in garbage time. NEB 25th scoring DEF, underrated in my mind. Nebraska can score coming in 33rd OFF YPG, but defense is still NW strength coming in 46th scoring DEF. In the two games NW has faced I have power rated in the top 100, their 1H margin AVG -18.5. I’ll hedge the total with NEB 1H -6 in case Nebraska Offense takes off, but again I think both can hit.
NEB 1H -6 (-120) 1.2u/ NEB UN 51 (-105) 1.05u
Fresno ST Bulldogs (1H -6) at Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
Recency bias but we’ve seen Fresno come out strong against Oregon and UCLA. In Hawaii they could be sleepwalking going into their BYE week versus an inferior foe but we know this Offense can score. I don’t see Fresno Coach Kalen DeBoer letting this squad come out flat in paradise and clearly wants to be in the conversation of being one of the best Group of 5 teams in the country. Hawaii’s QB struggles with accuracy and Fresno’s defense should take advantage in case their knicked up QB doesn’t come out strong.
Fresno 1H -6 (-120) 1.2u
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